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League Two · Scotland
Forfar Athletic vs Elgin City prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Forfar Athletic host Elgin City in the League Two (Scotland) on 10 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Forfar Athletic 1–2 Elgin City.
Going into the match, Forfar Athletic had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 18. Elgin City had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 28 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of Forfar Athletic's last 10 and 4 of Elgin City's last 10; 5 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Forfar Athletic averaged 1.24 goals scored and 1.59 conceded across 17 matches; away from home Elgin City averaged 2.00 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from Forfar Athletic and 2.00 from Elgin City. From that it rates a home win at 18%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 59%, against 28%, 25% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Forfar Athletic (green) and Elgin City (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forfar Athletic | LWWLW | 0.90 | 1.80 | 50% | 50% |
| Elgin City | WWWLL | 2.80 | 1.40 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 8 Aug 2026 · Elgin City 1–1 Forfar Athletic
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.70 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.