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Persian Gulf Pro League · Iran

Foolad FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak prediction and preview

8 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Over 1.5 GoalsOdds 1.35Market probability 68%Final score 2–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Foolad FC host Mes Shahr-e Babak in the Persian Gulf Pro League (Iran) on 8 Oct 2026, 15:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Foolad FC 2–1 Mes Shahr-e Babak.

Going into the match, Foolad FC had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 1 of their last 6 matches, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Mes Shahr-e Babak had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 1 of Foolad FC's last 6 and 6 of Mes Shahr-e Babak's last 10; 1 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Foolad FC averaged 0.67 goals scored and 0.33 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Mes Shahr-e Babak averaged 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.29 goals from Foolad FC and 0.63 from Mes Shahr-e Babak. From that it rates a home win at 51%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 17%, against 52%, 27% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Foolad FC (green) and Mes Shahr-e Babak (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%
Attack56% – 44%
Defence63% – 38%
Head-to-head100% – 0%
Goals100% – 0%
Overall strength67% – 33%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Foolad FCWLDWD0.830.5017%17%
Mes Shahr-e BabakDLDDD1.001.1060%30%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
Double Chance 1274%1.21
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals70%1.30
Over 1.5 Goals68%1.35
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals67%1.37
Under 2.5 Goals59%1.56
BTTS No56%1.64
Foolad FC Win52%1.72
Over 2.5 Goals41%2.22

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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