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Serie C - Girone A · Italy
Folgore Caratese vs Union Brescia prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Folgore Caratese host Union Brescia in the Serie C - Girone A (Italy) on 1 Nov 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Union Brescia Draw No Bet — Union Brescia Draw No Bet. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Folgore Caratese had won 1, drawn 4 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 15. Union Brescia had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Folgore Caratese's last 10 and 6 of Union Brescia's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Folgore Caratese averaged 1.63 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Union Brescia averaged 1.27 scored and 1.00 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.83 goals from Folgore Caratese and 1.68 from Union Brescia. From that it rates a home win at 17%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 56%, against 16%, 25% and 59% implied by the 1X2 prices.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Folgore Caratese (green) and Union Brescia (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folgore Caratese | DLLLW | 1.00 | 1.50 | 60% | 50% |
| Union Brescia | LWLWD | 1.60 | 1.00 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Union Brescia Win | 60% | 1.50 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.