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Serie C - Girone C · Italy
Foggia vs Potenza prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Foggia host Potenza in the Serie C - Girone C (Italy) on 11 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Foggia 1–3 Potenza.
Going into the match, Foggia had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 12. Potenza had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Foggia's last 10 and 8 of Potenza's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Foggia averaged 0.86 goals scored and 1.29 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Potenza averaged 1.63 scored and 1.38 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.22 goals from Foggia and 2.13 from Potenza. From that it rates a home win at 20%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 57%, against 40%, 28% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Foggia (green) and Potenza (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Double Chance 12 | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.