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Serie C · Brazil
Floresta vs Botafogo PB prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Floresta host Botafogo PB in the Serie C (Brazil) on 3 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 2.5 Goals — fewer than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Floresta 1–1 Botafogo PB.
Going into the match, Floresta had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 9. Botafogo PB had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Floresta's last 10 and 3 of Botafogo PB's last 10; 2 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Floresta averaged 1.17 goals scored and 0.92 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Botafogo PB averaged 1.14 scored and 1.43 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.00 goals from Floresta and 0.93 from Botafogo PB. From that it rates a home win at 35%, a draw at 34% and an away win at 31%, against 41%, 32% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Floresta (green) and Botafogo PB (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Floresta | DLWLW | 0.90 | 0.90 | 40% | 20% |
| Botafogo PB | DLLLW | 1.10 | 0.80 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Sep 2026 · Botafogo PB 0–1 Floresta
- 26 Apr 2026 · Botafogo PB 1–2 Floresta
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Floresta Win | 41% | 2.15 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.