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Meistriliiga · Estonia
Flora Tallinn vs FC Levadia Tallinn prediction and preview
15 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flora Tallinn host FC Levadia Tallinn in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 15 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Flora Tallinn 1–3 FC Levadia Tallinn.
Going into the match, Flora Tallinn had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 19 and conceding 20. FC Levadia Tallinn had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 39 scored and 4 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of Flora Tallinn's last 10 and 3 of FC Levadia Tallinn's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flora Tallinn averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 16 matches; away from home FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 2.44 scored and 0.88 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.86 goals from Flora Tallinn and 2.46 from FC Levadia Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 10%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 72%, against 16%, 20% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flora Tallinn (green) and FC Levadia Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn | LWWDW | 1.90 | 2.00 | 90% | 90% |
| FC Levadia Tallinn | WWDWW | 3.90 | 0.40 | 30% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 28 Jun 2026 · FC Levadia Tallinn 1–2 Flora Tallinn
- 13 Jun 2026 · Flora Tallinn 1–3 FC Levadia Tallinn
- 19 Apr 2026 · FC Levadia Tallinn 4–0 Flora Tallinn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn Win | 63% | 1.42 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 52% | 1.80 |
| Under 11.5 Corners | 51% | 1.83 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.