Flora II vs Nõmme United II prediction and preview

22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.80Market probability 50%Final score 3–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Flora II host Nõmme United II in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 22 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Nõmme United II to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.80, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Flora II 3–2 Nõmme United II.

Going into the match, Flora II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 16. Nõmme United II had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 16 conceded.

Both teams scored in 7 of Flora II's last 10 and 6 of Nõmme United II's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flora II averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Nõmme United II averaged 2.07 scored and 2.87 conceded across 15.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.42 goals from Flora II and 1.60 from Nõmme United II. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 24%, against 49%, 19% and 32% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 45%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Flora II (green) and Nõmme United II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form31% – 69%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence38% – 62%

Head-to-head50% – 50%

Goals50% – 50%

Overall strength47% – 52%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Flora II	LDLWL	2.20	1.60	70%	90%
Nõmme United II	LLWWW	1.40	1.60	60%	50%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

12 Jul 2026 · Nõmme United II 1–1 Flora II
30 Jun 2026 · Nõmme United II 3–3 Flora II
13 May 2026 · Flora II 2–2 Nõmme United II

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Double Chance 1X	68%	1.33
BTTS 1st Half - No	62%	1.52
1st Half Over 1.5 Goals	58%	1.62
Flora II HT & FT	35%	2.62

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.