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Esiliiga A · Estonia
Flora II vs FC Tallinn prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flora II host FC Tallinn in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 10 Oct 2026, 09:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Flora II Win — Flora II to win. It was published at odds of 1.53, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Flora II 1–2 FC Tallinn.
Going into the match, Flora II had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 15. FC Tallinn had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 24 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Flora II's last 10 and 6 of FC Tallinn's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flora II averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.58 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Tallinn averaged 0.92 scored and 2.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.48 goals from Flora II and 1.18 from FC Tallinn. From that it rates a home win at 65%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 16%, against 59%, 20% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flora II (green) and FC Tallinn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flora II | DLWLW | 2.10 | 1.50 | 60% | 80% |
| FC Tallinn | LWDLW | 1.20 | 2.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 1 Aug 2026 · FC Tallinn 1–0 Flora II
- 18 Jun 2026 · FC Tallinn 1–3 Flora II
- 10 Apr 2026 · Flora II 5–0 FC Tallinn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 69% | 1.35 |
| Flora II Win | 60% | 1.53 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.83 |
| Flora II HT & FT | 41% | 2.25 |
| 2-1 | 9% | 10.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.