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First Amateur Division · Belgium
Flénu vs Union Saint-Gilloise II prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flénu host Union Saint-Gilloise II in the First Amateur Division (Belgium) on 11 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.51, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Flénu 2–5 Union Saint-Gilloise II.
Going into the match, Flénu had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 27. Union Saint-Gilloise II had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Flénu's last 10 and 6 of Union Saint-Gilloise II's last 10; 10 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flénu averaged 1.71 goals scored and 3.00 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Union Saint-Gilloise II averaged 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.20 goals from Flénu and 2.89 from Union Saint-Gilloise II. From that it rates a home win at 12%, a draw at 16% and an away win at 71%, against 30%, 24% and 46% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flénu (green) and Union Saint-Gilloise II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flénu | LLLLD | 1.30 | 2.70 | 70% | 100% |
| Union Saint-Gilloise II | WDWDW | 1.40 | 1.00 | 60% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 74% | 1.24 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.51 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 60% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise II Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Union Saint-Gilloise II HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.