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Serie D - Girone E · Italy
Flaminia vs Gavorrano prediction and preview
4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flaminia host Gavorrano in the Serie D - Girone E (Italy) on 4 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Flaminia 1–1 Gavorrano.
Going into the match, Flaminia had won 4, drawn 3 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 21. Gavorrano had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Flaminia's last 10 and 6 of Gavorrano's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flaminia averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Gavorrano averaged 1.75 scored and 0.75 conceded across 4.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.99 goals from Flaminia and 1.54 from Gavorrano. From that it rates a home win at 23%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 49%, against 39%, 27% and 34% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 73%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flaminia (green) and Gavorrano (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.32 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.00 |
| Flaminia Win | 39% | 2.44 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.56 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.