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CONMEBOL Libertadores · International
Flamengo vs Estudiantes L.P. prediction and preview
23 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Flamengo host Estudiantes L.P. in the CONMEBOL Libertadores (International) on 23 Oct 2026, 00:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Flamengo Win — Flamengo to win. It was published at odds of 1.30, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, Flamengo had won 7, drawn 3 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 5. Estudiantes L.P. had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 12 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Flamengo's last 10 and 6 of Estudiantes L.P.'s last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Flamengo averaged 2.05 goals scored and 0.80 conceded across 20 matches; away from home Estudiantes L.P. averaged 0.86 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.80 goals from Flamengo and 0.52 from Estudiantes L.P.. From that it rates a home win at 68%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 9%, against 73%, 19% and 8% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 68%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Flamengo (green) and Estudiantes L.P. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamengo | WDWDW | 1.60 | 0.50 | 40% | 40% |
| Estudiantes L.P. | LDDWL | 1.20 | 1.20 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 Oct 2026 · Estudiantes L.P. 0–0 Flamengo
- 21 May 2026 · Flamengo 1–0 Estudiantes L.P.
- 30 Apr 2026 · Estudiantes L.P. 1–1 Flamengo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Flamengo Win | 71% | 1.30 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS No | 65% | 1.40 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.75 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
| Flamengo HT & FT | 50% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.