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A Lyga · Lithuania
FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Suduva Marijampole prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Zalgiris Vilnius host Suduva Marijampole in the A Lyga (Lithuania) on 10 Oct 2026, 11:15 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.73, which the bookmaker market rated at about 55% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4–0 Suduva Marijampole.
Going into the match, FK Zalgiris Vilnius had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 21. Suduva Marijampole had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 18 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of FK Zalgiris Vilnius's last 10 and 5 of Suduva Marijampole's last 10; 5 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Zalgiris Vilnius averaged 2.36 goals scored and 1.64 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Suduva Marijampole averaged 1.67 scored and 1.60 conceded across 15.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.86 goals from FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.40 from Suduva Marijampole. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 28%, against 42%, 27% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Zalgiris Vilnius (green) and Suduva Marijampole (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Zalgiris Vilnius | LLWDW | 1.00 | 2.10 | 30% | 50% |
| Suduva Marijampole | LDDLW | 1.80 | 1.40 | 50% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 13 Sep 2026 · Suduva Marijampole 0–0 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
- 10 May 2026 · Suduva Marijampole 1–1 FK Zalgiris Vilnius
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 50% | 1.90 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.