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FK Zalgiris Vilnius vs Panevėžys prediction and preview

3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.83Market probability 50%Final score 0–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FK Zalgiris Vilnius host Panevėžys in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Panevėžys to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.83, which the bookmaker market rated at about 50% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FK Zalgiris Vilnius 0–2 Panevėžys.

Going into the match, FK Zalgiris Vilnius had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 21. Panevėžys had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.

Both teams scored in 4 of FK Zalgiris Vilnius's last 10 and 3 of Panevėžys's last 10; 6 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Zalgiris Vilnius averaged 2.54 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Panevėžys averaged 1.25 scored and 1.56 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.78 goals from FK Zalgiris Vilnius and 1.60 from Panevėžys. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 25% and an away win at 34%, against 50%, 22% and 28% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 59%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FK Zalgiris Vilnius (green) and Panevėžys (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form38% – 63%
Attack45% – 55%
Defence25% – 75%
Head-to-head40% – 60%
Goals53% – 47%
Overall strength40% – 60%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
FK Zalgiris VilniusLWDWL1.702.1040%60%
PanevėžysWLWWW1.400.7030%20%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

Other markets we priced

MarketOur probabilityOdds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals76%1.24
Double Chance 1X73%1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No72%1.28
BTTS Yes63%1.47
Over 2.5 Goals63%1.50
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals56%1.69
Under 9.5 Corners56%1.67
Under 2.5 Goals38%2.50

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.

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