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Second League - Group 3 · Russia
FK Spartak Tambov vs Ryazan prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Spartak Tambov host Ryazan in the Second League - Group 3 (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.27, which the bookmaker market rated at about 72% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Spartak Tambov 0–0 Ryazan.
Going into the match, FK Spartak Tambov had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 17 and conceding 7. Ryazan had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 19 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FK Spartak Tambov's last 10 and 3 of Ryazan's last 10; 4 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Spartak Tambov averaged 1.58 goals scored and 0.50 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Ryazan averaged 1.77 scored and 0.46 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.67 goals from FK Spartak Tambov and 0.76 from Ryazan. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 40% and an away win at 33%, against 42%, 31% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 43%.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Spartak Tambov | WWDWW | 1.70 | 0.70 | 50% | 40% |
| Ryazan | WWWDW | 1.90 | 0.60 | 30% | 30% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 25 Aug 2026 · Ryazan 1–1 FK Spartak Tambov
- 20 Jun 2026 · Ryazan 1–2 FK Spartak Tambov
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 72% | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.27 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 70% | 1.30 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.82 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.90 |
| FK Spartak Tambov Win | 42% | 2.17 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.