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Super Liga · Serbia
FK Partizan vs Novi Pazar prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FK Partizan host Novi Pazar in the Super Liga (Serbia) on 11 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FK Partizan 1–0 Novi Pazar.
Going into the match, FK Partizan had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 22. Novi Pazar had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 9 of FK Partizan's last 10 and 4 of Novi Pazar's last 10; 9 and 2 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FK Partizan averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Novi Pazar averaged 0.60 scored and 1.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from FK Partizan and 0.84 from Novi Pazar. From that it rates a home win at 66%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 13%, against 50%, 26% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FK Partizan (green) and Novi Pazar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FK Partizan | LDLLW | 1.80 | 2.20 | 90% | 90% |
| Novi Pazar | DDWDL | 1.00 | 1.10 | 40% | 20% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 2 May 2026 · FK Partizan 2–1 Novi Pazar
- 9 Apr 2026 · Novi Pazar 2–3 FK Partizan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 57% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.