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2. Liga · Austria
First Vienna vs SKN ST. Polten prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
First Vienna host SKN ST. Polten in the 2. Liga (Austria) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: First Vienna 3–1 SKN ST. Polten.
Going into the match, First Vienna had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 10. SKN ST. Polten had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of First Vienna's last 10 and 4 of SKN ST. Polten's last 10; 7 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home First Vienna averaged 1.71 goals scored and 0.43 conceded across 7 matches; away from home SKN ST. Polten averaged 1.25 scored and 1.00 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from First Vienna and 0.56 from SKN ST. Polten. From that it rates a home win at 58%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 13%, against 48%, 25% and 27% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 86%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between First Vienna (green) and SKN ST. Polten (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| First Vienna | LWWWW | 2.10 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
| SKN ST. Polten | WWLWL | 0.80 | 1.30 | 40% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 79% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.