Home › League stats › UEFA Nations League › Finland vs Albania
UEFA Nations League · International
Finland vs Albania prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Finland host Albania in the UEFA Nations League (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Finland 2–1 Albania.
Going into the match, Finland had won 1, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 4 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Albania had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 2 of their last 4, with 5 scored and 2 conceded.
Both teams scored in 1 of Finland's last 4 and 0 of Albania's last 4; 3 and 1 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Finland averaged 0.00 goals scored and 0.00 conceded across 1 matches; away from home Albania averaged 3.00 scored and 0.00 conceded across 1.
The 1X2 prices imply about 38% for Finland, 29% for the draw and 32% for Albania once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Finland (green) and Albania (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 4 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Double Chance 12 | 70% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 59% | 1.60 |
| BTTS No | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 41% | 2.30 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.