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Úrvalsdeild · Iceland
FH hafnarfjordur vs Thor Akureyri prediction and preview
24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FH hafnarfjordur host Thor Akureyri in the Úrvalsdeild (Iceland) on 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FH hafnarfjordur had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 16. Thor Akureyri had won 5, drawn 0 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FH hafnarfjordur's last 10 and 3 of Thor Akureyri's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FH hafnarfjordur averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.46 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Thor Akureyri averaged 0.77 scored and 2.85 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from FH hafnarfjordur and 0.91 from Thor Akureyri. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 15%, against 44%, 25% and 31% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 57%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FH hafnarfjordur (green) and Thor Akureyri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FH hafnarfjordur | LWWWL | 2.10 | 1.60 | 70% | 60% |
| Thor Akureyri | WWLLW | 1.00 | 1.60 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Thor Akureyri 1–0 FH hafnarfjordur
- 21 Jun 2026 · FH hafnarfjordur 1–1 Thor Akureyri
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 3.5 Goals | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Úrvalsdeild matches that day
- Vikingur Reykjavik vs Fram Reykjavik · 24 Oct 2026, 16:15 UTC · Úrvalsdeild
Published pick: Vikingur Reykjavik Win @ 1.50 - IA Akranes vs Keflavik · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Úrvalsdeild
Published pick: IA Akranes Win @ 1.50 - KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Úrvalsdeild
Published pick: KR Reykjavik Win @ 1.57 - KA Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Úrvalsdeild
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44 - Stjarnan vs Valur Reykjavik · 24 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC · Úrvalsdeild
Published pick: Double Chance X2 @ 1.83