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UEFA Champions League · International
Feyenoord vs Como prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Feyenoord host Como in the UEFA Champions League (International) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Feyenoord 3–2 Como.
Going into the match, Feyenoord had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 13. Como had won 5, drawn 4 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Feyenoord's last 10 and 7 of Como's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Feyenoord averaged 2.50 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Como averaged 1.69 scored and 1.15 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.07 goals from Feyenoord and 1.28 from Como. From that it rates a home win at 55%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 23%, against 26%, 23% and 51% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 65%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Feyenoord (green) and Como (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.44 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
| Como Win | 50% | 1.85 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.