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Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord vs AZ Alkmaar prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Feyenoord host AZ Alkmaar in the Eredivisie (Netherlands) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Feyenoord 2–0 AZ Alkmaar.
Going into the match, Feyenoord had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 30 and conceding 14. AZ Alkmaar had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 25 scored and 9 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of Feyenoord's last 10 and 5 of AZ Alkmaar's last 10; 9 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Feyenoord averaged 2.56 goals scored and 1.11 conceded across 9 matches; away from home AZ Alkmaar averaged 1.67 scored and 1.00 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.96 goals from Feyenoord and 1.71 from AZ Alkmaar. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 33%, against 52%, 22% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Feyenoord (green) and AZ Alkmaar (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feyenoord | WWLWD | 3.00 | 1.40 | 70% | 90% |
| AZ Alkmaar | WLDWW | 2.50 | 0.90 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Feyenoord 1–1 AZ Alkmaar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.33 |
| BTTS Yes | 66% | 1.40 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
| Feyenoord Win | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.