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2. Lig · Turkey
Fethiyespor vs Karacabey Belediyespor prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fethiyespor host Karacabey Belediyespor in the 2. Lig (Turkey) on 3 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Fethiyespor to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 73% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fethiyespor 0–1 Karacabey Belediyespor.
Going into the match, Fethiyespor had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7 matches, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Karacabey Belediyespor had won 2, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 7, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fethiyespor's last 7 and 4 of Karacabey Belediyespor's last 7; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fethiyespor averaged 0.67 goals scored and 1.67 conceded across 3 matches; away from home Karacabey Belediyespor averaged 2.00 scored and 0.67 conceded across 3.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.32 goals from Fethiyespor and 0.98 from Karacabey Belediyespor. From that it rates a home win at 43%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 27%, against 46%, 28% and 26% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fethiyespor (green) and Karacabey Belediyespor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fethiyespor | WDLLD | 0.86 | 1.29 | 57% | 43% |
| Karacabey Belediyespor | LWDLD | 1.57 | 1.57 | 57% | 57% |
Averages over each side's last 7 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 73% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.41 |
| BTTS Yes | 55% | 1.67 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| Fethiyespor Win | 46% | 1.95 |
| Fethiyespor HT & FT | 30% | 3.10 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.