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Primera Nacional · Argentina
Ferro Carril Oeste vs Deportivo Madryn prediction and preview
2 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ferro Carril Oeste host Deportivo Madryn in the Primera Nacional (Argentina) on 2 Oct 2026, 22:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — Ferro Carril Oeste to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.25, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ferro Carril Oeste 0–2 Deportivo Madryn.
Going into the match, Ferro Carril Oeste had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 11. Deportivo Madryn had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 17 scored and 6 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Ferro Carril Oeste's last 10 and 3 of Deportivo Madryn's last 10; 5 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ferro Carril Oeste averaged 1.23 goals scored and 0.69 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Deportivo Madryn averaged 1.18 scored and 1.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.23 goals from Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.92 from Deportivo Madryn. From that it rates a home win at 42%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 26%, against 46%, 30% and 24% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ferro Carril Oeste (green) and Deportivo Madryn (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro Carril Oeste | WWDDD | 1.10 | 1.10 | 40% | 50% |
| Deportivo Madryn | DWLWL | 1.70 | 0.60 | 30% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 17 May 2026 · Deportivo Madryn 0–1 Ferro Carril Oeste
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.25 |
| BTTS No | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 59% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Ferro Carril Oeste Win | 46% | 2.05 |
| Under 1.5 Goals | 41% | 2.25 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.