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Reserve League · Argentina

Ferro 2 vs Independiente Res. prediction and preview

7 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Double Chance X2Odds 1.22Market probability 75%Final score 0–0

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Ferro 2 host Independiente Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 7 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Independiente Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Ferro 2 0–0 Independiente Res..

Going into the match, Ferro 2 had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 23. Independiente Res. had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Ferro 2's last 10 and 7 of Independiente Res.'s last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ferro 2 averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Independiente Res. averaged 1.70 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Ferro 2 and 2.08 from Independiente Res.. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 70%, against 26%, 27% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Ferro 2 (green) and Independiente Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form9% – 91%
Attack36% – 64%
Defence31% – 69%
Head-to-head50% – 50%
Goals50% – 50%
Overall strength34% – 65%

Form before the match

TeamLast 5ScoredConcededBTTSO2.5
Ferro 2LLDLL0.702.3060%60%
Independiente Res.WWWLD2.300.8070%60%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

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