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Reserve League · Argentina
Ferro 2 vs Independiente Res. prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Ferro 2 host Independiente Res. in the Reserve League (Argentina) on 7 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance X2 — Independiente Res. to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 75% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Ferro 2 0–0 Independiente Res..
Going into the match, Ferro 2 had won 0, drawn 2 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 7 and conceding 23. Independiente Res. had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of Ferro 2's last 10 and 7 of Independiente Res.'s last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Ferro 2 averaged 1.20 goals scored and 1.60 conceded across 10 matches; away from home Independiente Res. averaged 1.70 scored and 0.70 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 0.63 goals from Ferro 2 and 2.08 from Independiente Res.. From that it rates a home win at 9%, a draw at 21% and an away win at 70%, against 26%, 27% and 47% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 91%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Ferro 2 (green) and Independiente Res. (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ferro 2 | LLDLL | 0.70 | 2.30 | 60% | 60% |
| Independiente Res. | WWWLD | 2.30 | 0.80 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 May 2026 · Independiente Res. 1–0 Ferro 2