Fenix vs Paysandu prediction and preview

17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Fenix WinOdds 1.36Market probability 67%Final score 0–1

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

Fenix host Paysandu in the Segunda División (Uruguay) on 17 Oct 2026, 17:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Fenix Win — Fenix to win. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: Fenix 0–1 Paysandu.

Going into the match, Fenix had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 15. Paysandu had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 11 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of Fenix's last 10 and 5 of Paysandu's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fenix averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.07 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Paysandu averaged 1.23 scored and 1.46 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.42 goals from Fenix and 1.20 from Paysandu. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 31%, against 66%, 22% and 13% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 41%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between Fenix (green) and Paysandu (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form62% – 38%

Attack55% – 45%

Defence60% – 40%

Head-to-head0% – 100%

Goals0% – 100%

Overall strength59% – 40%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
Fenix	DWLLD	1.30	1.50	60%	40%
Paysandu	WLDDL	1.10	1.10	50%	40%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

14 Jul 2026 · Paysandu 1–0 Fenix

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	68%	1.36
Fenix Win	67%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	66%	1.40
BTTS No	58%	1.57
Under 2.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Over 9.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Over 2.5 Goals	49%	2.00
Fenix HT & FT	44%	2.10

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.