Home › League stats › Süper Lig › Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe vs Alanyaspor prediction and preview
17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Fenerbahçe host Alanyaspor in the Süper Lig (Turkey) on 17 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 60% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Fenerbahçe 3–0 Alanyaspor.
Going into the match, Fenerbahçe had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 23 and conceding 12. Alanyaspor had won 4, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of Fenerbahçe's last 10 and 7 of Alanyaspor's last 10; 6 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Fenerbahçe averaged 2.73 goals scored and 1.09 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Alanyaspor averaged 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.26 goals from Fenerbahçe and 0.65 from Alanyaspor. From that it rates a home win at 73%, a draw at 19% and an away win at 8%, against 71%, 18% and 11% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 67%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Fenerbahçe (green) and Alanyaspor (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fenerbahçe | LWWWD | 2.30 | 1.20 | 40% | 60% |
| Alanyaspor | DWDWL | 1.40 | 1.10 | 70% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| Fenerbahçe Win | 73% | 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 60% | 1.53 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 60% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Fenerbahçe HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Süper Lig matches that day
- Amed vs Konyaspor · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 · FT 1–0 - Gençlerbirliği S.K. vs Galatasaray · 17 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.48 - Erzurumspor FK vs Eyüpspor · 17 Oct 2026, 10:30 UTC · Süper Lig
Published pick: Erzurumspor FK Win @ 1.60