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Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal
Felgueiras U23 vs Estrela U23 prediction and preview
6 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
Felgueiras U23 host Estrela U23 in the Liga Revelação U23 (Portugal) on 6 Oct 2026, 15:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Felgueiras U23 Win — Felgueiras U23 to win. It was published at odds of 1.60, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: Felgueiras U23 3–1 Estrela U23.
Going into the match, Felgueiras U23 had won 2, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 6 matches, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Estrela U23 had won 1, drawn 2 and lost 6 of their last 9, with 5 scored and 13 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of Felgueiras U23's last 6 and 2 of Estrela U23's last 9; 3 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home Felgueiras U23 averaged 1.00 goals scored and 2.00 conceded across 2 matches; away from home Estrela U23 averaged 0.00 scored and 1.20 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.02 goals from Felgueiras U23 and 0.88 from Estrela U23. From that it rates a home win at 63%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 15%, against 56%, 24% and 21% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 63%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between Felgueiras U23 (green) and Estrela U23 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Felgueiras U23 | DWWDL | 1.50 | 1.33 | 50% | 50% |
| Estrela U23 | DWLDL | 0.56 | 1.44 | 22% | 44% |
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.49 |
| Felgueiras U23 Win | 56% | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 54% | 1.69 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.08 |
| Felgueiras U23 HT & FT | 37% | 2.50 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.