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Esiliiga A · Estonia
FCI Levadia II vs Nõmme Kalju II prediction and preview
14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FCI Levadia II host Nõmme Kalju II in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 14 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FCI Levadia II Win — FCI Levadia II to win. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FCI Levadia II 1–0 Nõmme Kalju II.
Going into the match, FCI Levadia II had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 20. Nõmme Kalju II had won 1, drawn 0 and lost 9 of their last 10, with 8 scored and 28 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FCI Levadia II's last 10 and 4 of Nõmme Kalju II's last 10; 8 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FCI Levadia II averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.62 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Nõmme Kalju II averaged 1.36 scored and 2.18 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.60 goals from FCI Levadia II and 1.02 from Nõmme Kalju II. From that it rates a home win at 71%, a draw at 18% and an away win at 12%, against 67%, 16% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 71%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FCI Levadia II (green) and Nõmme Kalju II (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FCI Levadia II | WWDWL | 2.20 | 2.00 | 70% | 80% |
| Nõmme Kalju II | LLLLW | 0.80 | 2.80 | 40% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Jul 2026 · Nõmme Kalju II 0–2 FCI Levadia II
- 11 May 2026 · Nõmme Kalju II 1–0 FCI Levadia II
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 70% | 1.32 |
| FCI Levadia II Win | 68% | 1.33 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 66% | 1.42 |
| 1st Half Over 1.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| FCI Levadia II 1st Half Win | 54% | 1.67 |
| FCI Levadia II HT & FT | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.