FC Zurich vs FC Thun prediction and preview

10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.36Market probability 70%Final score 4–2

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Zurich host FC Thun in the Super League (Switzerland) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FC Zurich 4–2 FC Thun.

Going into the match, FC Zurich had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 20. FC Thun had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 21 conceded.

Both teams scored in 9 of FC Zurich's last 10 and 5 of FC Thun's last 10; 9 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Zurich averaged 1.62 goals scored and 1.92 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Thun averaged 2.08 scored and 2.50 conceded across 12.

Our team-strength model expects about 2.05 goals from FC Zurich and 2.02 from FC Thun. From that it rates a home win at 40%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 38%, against 34%, 25% and 42% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 76%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Zurich (green) and FC Thun (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form67% – 33%

Attack63% – 38%

Defence47% – 53%

Head-to-head38% – 62%

Goals37% – 63%

Overall strength49% – 50%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FC Zurich	WDWDL	1.80	2.00	90%	90%
FC Thun	WWLLL	2.00	2.10	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
1st Half Over 0.5 Goals	77%	1.20
Double Chance 12	76%	1.25
BTTS 1st Half - No	71%	1.33
BTTS Yes	70%	1.36
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	54%	1.73
Under 3.5 Goals	51%	1.80
Over 10.5 Corners	50%	1.83
Over 3.5 Goals	49%	1.91

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.