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Friendlies Clubs · International
FC Winterthur vs FC Basel 1893 prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Winterthur host FC Basel 1893 in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Basel 1893 Win — FC Basel 1893 to win. It was published at odds of 1.36, which the bookmaker market rated at about 66% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Winterthur 7–3 FC Basel 1893.
Going into the match, FC Winterthur had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 8. FC Basel 1893 had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 24 scored and 23 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Winterthur's last 10 and 9 of FC Basel 1893's last 10; 6 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Winterthur averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.25 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC Basel 1893 averaged 2.22 scored and 1.89 conceded across 9.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.10 goals from FC Winterthur and 1.64 from FC Basel 1893. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 30%, against 16%, 18% and 66% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 30%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Winterthur (green) and FC Basel 1893 (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Winterthur | WWWWD | 2.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 60% |
| FC Basel 1893 | LWLLD | 2.40 | 2.30 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 11 Jul 2026 · FC Basel 1893 2–2 FC Winterthur
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.29 |
| FC Basel 1893 Win | 66% | 1.36 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.52 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 52% | 1.84 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| FC Basel 1893 HT & FT | 48% | 1.95 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.