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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC Volendam vs Vitesse prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Volendam host Vitesse in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 68% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Volendam 2–0 Vitesse.
Going into the match, FC Volendam had won 4, drawn 0 and lost 6 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 20. Vitesse had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 15 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Volendam's last 10 and 7 of Vitesse's last 10; 7 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Volendam averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded across 8 matches; away from home Vitesse averaged 1.83 scored and 1.17 conceded across 6.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.63 goals from FC Volendam and 1.13 from Vitesse. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 25%, against 39%, 25% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 56%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Volendam (green) and Vitesse (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Volendam | LWLWL | 2.10 | 2.00 | 60% | 70% |
| Vitesse | DLWLW | 1.60 | 1.50 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 76% | 1.22 |
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.30 |
| BTTS Yes | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 66% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.67 |
| Under 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 53% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.