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Friendlies Clubs · International
FC Viktoria Köln vs 1. FC Köln prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Viktoria Köln host 1. FC Köln in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is 1. FC Köln Win — 1. FC Köln to win. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Viktoria Köln 2–2 1. FC Köln.
Going into the match, FC Viktoria Köln had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 24 and conceding 12. 1. FC Köln had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 21 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Viktoria Köln's last 10 and 9 of 1. FC Köln's last 10; 8 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Viktoria Köln averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home 1. FC Köln averaged 2.29 scored and 2.14 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.95 goals from FC Viktoria Köln and 1.49 from 1. FC Köln. From that it rates a home win at 48%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 29%, against 18%, 18% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 29%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Viktoria Köln (green) and 1. FC Köln (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Viktoria Köln | WWWLW | 2.40 | 1.20 | 60% | 80% |
| 1. FC Köln | LDLWW | 2.20 | 2.10 | 90% | 90% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 71% | 1.30 |
| 1. FC Köln Win | 64% | 1.40 |
| BTTS Yes | 62% | 1.49 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.82 |
| 1. FC Köln HT & FT | 46% | 2.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.