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Premier League · Armenia
FC Urartu vs Ararat prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Urartu host Ararat in the Premier League (Armenia) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Urartu Win — FC Urartu to win. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Urartu 2–2 Ararat.
Going into the match, FC Urartu had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 16 and conceding 15. Ararat had won 3, drawn 1 and lost 6 of their last 10, with 7 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Urartu's last 10 and 3 of Ararat's last 10; 7 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Urartu averaged 1.18 goals scored and 1.91 conceded across 11 matches; away from home Ararat averaged 1.13 scored and 2.75 conceded across 8.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.13 goals from FC Urartu and 1.11 from Ararat. From that it rates a home win at 60%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 18%, against 60%, 22% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Urartu (green) and Ararat (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 10 May 2026 · Ararat 0–1 FC Urartu
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 62% | 1.50 |
| FC Urartu Win | 61% | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 56% | 1.70 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.69 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.73 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 44% | 2.10 |
| FC Urartu HT & FT | 40% | 2.30 |
| 1-0 | 12% | 8.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.