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J1 League · Japan
FC Tokyo vs Urawa prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Urawa in the J1 League (Japan) on 10 Oct 2026, 06:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Tokyo 3–0 Urawa.
Going into the match, FC Tokyo had won 8, drawn 2 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 3. Urawa had won 7, drawn 0 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 22 scored and 18 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of FC Tokyo's last 10 and 8 of Urawa's last 10; 4 and 9 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Tokyo averaged 2.15 goals scored and 1.23 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Urawa averaged 1.91 scored and 1.82 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from FC Tokyo and 1.08 from Urawa. From that it rates a home win at 57%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 19%, against 57%, 25% and 19% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 64%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Tokyo (green) and Urawa (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 16 May 2026 · Urawa 0–0 FC Tokyo
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.25 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 61% | 1.53 |
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| FC Tokyo Win | 55% | 1.65 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.