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Emperor Cup · Japan
FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare prediction and preview
7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Tokyo host Shonan Bellmare in the Emperor Cup (Japan) on 7 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Tokyo 4–0 Shonan Bellmare.
Going into the match, FC Tokyo had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 22 and conceding 8. Shonan Bellmare had won 4, drawn 5 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 11 conceded.
Both teams scored in 3 of FC Tokyo's last 10 and 6 of Shonan Bellmare's last 10; 4 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Tokyo averaged 2.00 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Shonan Bellmare averaged 1.36 scored and 1.00 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.61 goals from FC Tokyo and 0.48 from Shonan Bellmare. From that it rates a home win at 82%, a draw at 14% and an away win at 4%, against 59%, 23% and 18% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Tokyo (green) and Shonan Bellmare (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tokyo | WWWWD | 2.20 | 0.80 | 30% | 40% |
| Shonan Bellmare | DWDWD | 1.30 | 1.10 | 60% | 40% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 77% | 1.22 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 75% | 1.25 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 69% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 65% | 1.43 |
| FC Tokyo Win | 59% | 1.50 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.