FC Tallinn vs Tartu Welco prediction and preview

15 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC

The PunterPick prediction

Tartu Welco WinOdds 1.43Market probability 65%Final score 0–7

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Tallinn host Tartu Welco in the Esiliiga A (Estonia) on 15 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Tartu Welco Win — Tartu Welco to win. It was published at odds of 1.43, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Final score: FC Tallinn 0–7 Tartu Welco.

Going into the match, FC Tallinn had won 3, drawn 2 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. Tartu Welco had won 7, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 9 conceded.

Both teams scored in 6 of FC Tallinn's last 10 and 5 of Tartu Welco's last 10; 6 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Tallinn averaged 1.47 goals scored and 2.33 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Tartu Welco averaged 2.44 scored and 1.19 conceded across 16.

Our team-strength model expects about 0.94 goals from FC Tallinn and 3.31 from Tartu Welco. From that it rates a home win at 7%, a draw at 12% and an away win at 82%, against 17%, 19% and 64% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 82%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Tallinn (green) and Tartu Welco (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form39% – 61%

Attack38% – 63%

Defence9% – 91%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals29% – 71%

Overall strength27% – 72%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FC Tallinn	WLWDL	1.30	2.40	60%	60%
Tartu Welco	WWWDD	2.90	0.90	50%	70%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

18 Jul 2026 · Tartu Welco 0–2 FC Tallinn
13 Jun 2026 · Tartu Welco 4–0 FC Tallinn
1 May 2026 · FC Tallinn 0–2 Tartu Welco

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Tartu Welco Win	64%	1.43

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.