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Cup · Estonia
FC Tallinn vs Laagri prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Tallinn host Laagri in the Cup (Estonia) on 3 Oct 2026, 12:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 2.5 Goals — more than 2.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 65% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Tallinn 0–10 Laagri.
Going into the match, FC Tallinn had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 14. Laagri had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Tallinn's last 10 and 6 of Laagri's last 10; 4 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Tallinn averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.79 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Laagri averaged 1.08 scored and 2.08 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.36 goals from FC Tallinn and 3.99 from Laagri. From that it rates a home win at 8%, a draw at 10% and an away win at 82%, against 11%, 15% and 74% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 90%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Tallinn (green) and Laagri (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Tallinn | WDLWL | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 40% |
| Laagri | DWLLW | 1.30 | 1.40 | 60% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.24 |
| Laagri Win | 74% | 1.22 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| Laagri 1st Half Win | 57% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.69 |
| Laagri HT & FT | 56% | 1.67 |
| BTTS No | 53% | 1.73 |
| 0-3 | 12% | 7.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.