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Friendlies Clubs · International
FC St. Pauli vs Borussia Mönchengladbach prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC St. Pauli host Borussia Mönchengladbach in the Friendlies Clubs (International) on 3 Oct 2026, 13:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC St. Pauli 1–1 Borussia Mönchengladbach.
Going into the match, FC St. Pauli had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Borussia Mönchengladbach had won 6, drawn 0 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 29 scored and 19 conceded.
Both teams scored in 8 of FC St. Pauli's last 10 and 5 of Borussia Mönchengladbach's last 10; 6 and 10 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC St. Pauli averaged 1.11 goals scored and 1.89 conceded across 9 matches; away from home Borussia Mönchengladbach averaged 2.83 scored and 1.33 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.54 goals from FC St. Pauli and 2.04 from Borussia Mönchengladbach. From that it rates a home win at 28%, a draw at 23% and an away win at 49%, against 38%, 24% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 77%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC St. Pauli (green) and Borussia Mönchengladbach (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC St. Pauli | DWDLL | 1.30 | 1.70 | 80% | 60% |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach | WLLLL | 2.90 | 1.90 | 50% | 100% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 76% | 1.28 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 72% | 1.29 |
| BTTS Yes | 65% | 1.43 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 56% | 1.65 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 50% | 1.83 |
| Borussia Mönchengladbach Win | 38% | 2.35 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 38% | 2.50 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.