Home › League stats › First League › FC Sochi vs FC UFA
First League · Russia
FC Sochi vs FC UFA prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Sochi host FC UFA in the First League (Russia) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is FC Sochi Win — FC Sochi to win. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 57% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Sochi 1–0 FC UFA.
Going into the match, FC Sochi had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. FC UFA had won 2, drawn 5 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 10 scored and 12 conceded.
Both teams scored in 7 of FC Sochi's last 10 and 6 of FC UFA's last 10; 6 and 4 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Sochi averaged 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded across 12 matches; away from home FC UFA averaged 0.75 scored and 1.25 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.26 goals from FC Sochi and 0.89 from FC UFA. From that it rates a home win at 44%, a draw at 32% and an away win at 25%, against 60%, 24% and 16% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 44%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Sochi (green) and FC UFA (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.26 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 72% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 69% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 60% | 1.54 |
| FC Sochi Win | 59% | 1.57 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.