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Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D · Portugal
FC Serpa vs Sintrense prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Serpa host Sintrense in the Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group D (Portugal) on 11 Oct 2026, 14:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 12 — either side to win, with no draw. It was published at odds of 1.28, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Serpa 2–0 Sintrense.
Going into the match, FC Serpa had won 2, drawn 4 and lost 2 of their last 8 matches, scoring 10 and conceding 8. Sintrense had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 1 of their last 9, with 18 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Serpa's last 8 and 4 of Sintrense's last 9; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Serpa averaged 1.60 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 5 matches; away from home Sintrense averaged 1.80 scored and 0.60 conceded across 5.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from FC Serpa and 0.95 from Sintrense. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 25%, against 30%, 29% and 41% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 70%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Serpa (green) and Sintrense (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 9 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.27 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 63% | 1.44 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 51% | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 42% | 2.25 |
| Sintrense Win | 40% | 2.20 |
| 0-1 | 13% | 7.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.