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K League 1 · South Korea
FC Seoul vs Jeju United FC prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Seoul host Jeju United FC in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 10 Oct 2026, 05:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.40, which the bookmaker market rated at about 67% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Seoul 2–1 Jeju United FC.
Going into the match, FC Seoul had won 6, drawn 1 and lost 3 of their last 10 matches, scoring 21 and conceding 9. Jeju United FC had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Seoul's last 10 and 5 of Jeju United FC's last 10; 5 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Seoul averaged 1.31 goals scored and 0.85 conceded across 13 matches; away from home Jeju United FC averaged 1.33 scored and 0.83 conceded across 12.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.45 goals from FC Seoul and 1.24 from Jeju United FC. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 28% and an away win at 31%, against 60%, 24% and 17% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 72%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Seoul (green) and Jeju United FC (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | LLWLW | 2.10 | 0.90 | 40% | 50% |
| Jeju United FC | WDWDW | 1.40 | 0.80 | 50% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 9 May 2026 · Jeju United FC 2–1 FC Seoul
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 78% | 1.25 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 77% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 70% | 1.33 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 67% | 1.40 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| FC Seoul Win | 59% | 1.55 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.80 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.