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K League 1 · South Korea
FC Seoul vs Incheon United prediction and preview
1 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC · Seoul World Cup Stadium, Seoul
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Seoul host Incheon United in the K League 1 (South Korea) on 1 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.33, which the bookmaker market rated at about 71% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Seoul had won 4, drawn 2 and lost 4 of their last 10 matches, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Incheon United had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Seoul's last 10 and 7 of Incheon United's last 10; 6 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Seoul averaged 1.40 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Incheon United averaged 1.14 scored and 1.07 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.30 goals from FC Seoul and 1.04 from Incheon United. From that it rates a home win at 41%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 29%, against 54%, 26% and 20% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 79%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Seoul (green) and Incheon United (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Seoul | WDDLW | 1.40 | 1.20 | 50% | 60% |
| Incheon United | WDWDD | 1.30 | 1.00 | 70% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 5 Sep 2026 · FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United
- 5 Jul 2026 · FC Seoul 1–0 Incheon United
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 75% | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 73% | 1.28 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 71% | 1.33 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 66% | 1.40 |
| FC Seoul Win | 54% | 1.70 |
| Under 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other K League 1 matches that day
- FC Anyang vs Bucheon FC 1995 · 1 Nov 2026, 07:30 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.33 - Ulsan Hyundai FC vs Gangwon FC · 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Under 3.5 Goals @ 1.36 - Pohang Steelers vs Jeju United FC · 1 Nov 2026, 05:00 UTC · K League 1
Published pick: Over 1.5 Goals @ 1.36