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Premier League · Russia
FC Rostov vs Lokomotiv prediction and preview
25 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Rostov host Lokomotiv in the Premier League (Russia) on 25 Oct 2026, 10:45 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.35, which the bookmaker market rated at about 69% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Going into the match, FC Rostov had won 4, drawn 1 and lost 5 of their last 10 matches, scoring 8 and conceding 16. Lokomotiv had won 3, drawn 4 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 10 conceded.
Both teams scored in 2 of FC Rostov's last 10 and 4 of Lokomotiv's last 10; 5 and 3 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Rostov averaged 0.92 goals scored and 0.83 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Lokomotiv averaged 1.18 scored and 1.27 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.01 goals from FC Rostov and 1.33 from Lokomotiv. From that it rates a home win at 27%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 43%, against 41%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 69%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Rostov (green) and Lokomotiv (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 18 Aug 2026 · FC Rostov 1–0 Lokomotiv
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 71% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.35 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 66% | 1.42 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.71 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.74 |
| BTTS Yes | 51% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 45% | 2.13 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.