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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS vs MVV prediction and preview
3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC OSS host MVV in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 3 Oct 2026, 14:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.20, which the bookmaker market rated at about 78% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC OSS 4–1 MVV.
Going into the match, FC OSS had won 2, drawn 0 and lost 8 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 24. MVV had won 5, drawn 2 and lost 3 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 22 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC OSS's last 10 and 6 of MVV's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC OSS averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.17 conceded across 6 matches; away from home MVV averaged 1.30 scored and 2.10 conceded across 10.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.14 goals from FC OSS and 1.28 from MVV. From that it rates a home win at 56%, a draw at 22% and an away win at 22%, against 43%, 27% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 87%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC OSS (green) and MVV (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 24 Apr 2026 · MVV 0–2 FC OSS
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 65% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 59% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 55% | 1.70 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 52% | 1.82 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.