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Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
FC OSS vs Helmond Sport prediction and preview
9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC OSS host Helmond Sport in the Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) on 9 Oct 2026, 18:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.44, which the bookmaker market rated at about 64% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC OSS 3–1 Helmond Sport.
Going into the match, FC OSS had won 3, drawn 0 and lost 7 of their last 10 matches, scoring 13 and conceding 17. Helmond Sport had won 3, drawn 3 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 16 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC OSS's last 10 and 8 of Helmond Sport's last 10; 8 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC OSS averaged 2.43 goals scored and 1.14 conceded across 7 matches; away from home Helmond Sport averaged 0.71 scored and 1.57 conceded across 7.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.98 goals from FC OSS and 1.23 from Helmond Sport. From that it rates a home win at 54%, a draw at 24% and an away win at 23%, against 44%, 26% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 60%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC OSS (green) and Helmond Sport (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC OSS | WLWLL | 1.30 | 1.70 | 60% | 80% |
| Helmond Sport | DLLWW | 1.60 | 1.60 | 80% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 Goals | 78% | 1.20 |
| Double Chance 12 | 73% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 64% | 1.44 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 1.57 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 57% | 1.67 |
| Over 10.5 Corners | 54% | 1.73 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.