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Premier League · Russia
FC Orenburg vs Dinamo Makhachkala prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Orenburg host Dinamo Makhachkala in the Premier League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Over 1.5 Goals — more than 1.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.34, which the bookmaker market rated at about 70% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Orenburg 4–0 Dinamo Makhachkala.
Going into the match, FC Orenburg had won 2, drawn 6 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Dinamo Makhachkala had won 2, drawn 1 and lost 7 of their last 10, with 13 scored and 20 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Orenburg's last 10 and 7 of Dinamo Makhachkala's last 10; 3 and 7 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Orenburg averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.08 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Dinamo Makhachkala averaged 1.21 scored and 1.64 conceded across 14.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.69 goals from FC Orenburg and 1.22 from Dinamo Makhachkala. From that it rates a home win at 47%, a draw at 26% and an away win at 27%, against 42%, 29% and 30% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 80%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Orenburg (green) and Dinamo Makhachkala (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | LWDLD | 1.20 | 1.10 | 60% | 30% |
| Dinamo Makhachkala | LLWLL | 1.30 | 2.00 | 70% | 70% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.34 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 70% | 1.36 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.42 |
| Under 9.5 Corners | 55% | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 54% | 1.74 |
| BTTS Yes | 52% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 46% | 2.13 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.