FC Orenburg vs CSKA Moscow prediction and preview

1 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC · Gazovik Stadium, Rostoshi

The PunterPick prediction

BTTS YesOdds 1.57Market probability 62%

Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.

Match preview

FC Orenburg host CSKA Moscow in the Premier League (Russia) on 1 Nov 2026, 10:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 62% once the bookmaker margin is removed.

Going into the match, FC Orenburg had won 5, drawn 3 and lost 2 of their last 10 matches, scoring 18 and conceding 11. CSKA Moscow had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 11 conceded.

Both teams scored in 5 of FC Orenburg's last 10 and 7 of CSKA Moscow's last 10; 6 and 8 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Orenburg averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 14 matches; away from home CSKA Moscow averaged 1.08 scored and 1.62 conceded across 13.

Our team-strength model expects about 1.25 goals from FC Orenburg and 1.32 from CSKA Moscow. From that it rates a home win at 34%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 37%, against 30%, 27% and 43% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 53%.

Team comparison

Share of each factor between FC Orenburg (green) and CSKA Moscow (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.

Recent form44% – 56%

Attack41% – 59%

Defence63% – 38%

Head-to-head29% – 71%

Goals25% – 75%

Overall strength42% – 58%

Form before the match

Team	Last 5	Scored	Conceded	BTTS	O2.5
FC Orenburg	WWDWW	1.80	1.10	50%	60%
CSKA Moscow	WWLWW	2.30	1.10	70%	80%

Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.

Recent meetings

11 Jul 2026 · FC Orenburg 2–0 CSKA Moscow

Other markets we priced

Market	Our probability	Odds
Over 1.5 Goals	78%	1.21
BTTS 1st Half - No	75%	1.24
Double Chance 12	74%	1.31
Under 3.5 Goals	65%	1.45
1st Half Under 1.5 Goals	63%	1.50
Over 8.5 Corners	62%	1.51
BTTS Yes	59%	1.57
Over 2.5 Goals	56%	1.70

Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.