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Premier League · Armenia
FC Noah vs Pyunik Yerevan prediction and preview
18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Noah host Pyunik Yerevan in the Premier League (Armenia) on 18 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Double Chance 1X — FC Noah to win or draw. It was published at odds of 1.22, which the bookmaker market rated at about 76% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Noah 1–1 Pyunik Yerevan.
Going into the match, FC Noah had won 8, drawn 1 and lost 1 of their last 10 matches, scoring 26 and conceding 10. Pyunik Yerevan had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10, with 23 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Noah's last 10 and 4 of Pyunik Yerevan's last 10; 7 and 6 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Noah averaged 2.36 goals scored and 0.71 conceded across 14 matches; away from home Pyunik Yerevan averaged 1.38 scored and 1.08 conceded across 13.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.37 goals from FC Noah and 0.98 from Pyunik Yerevan. From that it rates a home win at 45%, a draw at 30% and an away win at 26%, against 49%, 26% and 25% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 74%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Noah (green) and Pyunik Yerevan (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Noah | WDWWW | 2.60 | 1.00 | 50% | 70% |
| Pyunik Yerevan | WDWWD | 2.30 | 0.80 | 40% | 60% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 23 May 2026 · Pyunik Yerevan 0–0 FC Noah
- 3 May 2026 · FC Noah 0–0 Pyunik Yerevan
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 1X | 76% | 1.22 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 67% | 1.37 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 67% | 1.39 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.74 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 51% | 1.85 |
| FC Noah Win | 49% | 1.83 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 49% | 1.95 |
| FC Noah HT & FT | 32% | 2.88 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Other Premier League matches that day
- BKMA vs Ararat-Armenia · 18 Oct 2026, 13:00 UTC · Premier League
Published pick: Over 2.5 Goals @ 1.44