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Superliga · Denmark
FC Midtjylland vs FC Copenhagen prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Midtjylland host FC Copenhagen in the Superliga (Denmark) on 11 Oct 2026, 16:00 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is Under 3.5 Goals — fewer than 3.5 goals in the match. It was published at odds of 1.50, which the bookmaker market rated at about 63% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Midtjylland 2–1 FC Copenhagen.
Going into the match, FC Midtjylland had won 6, drawn 4 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 25 and conceding 7. FC Copenhagen had won 7, drawn 1 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 20 scored and 8 conceded.
Both teams scored in 6 of FC Midtjylland's last 10 and 2 of FC Copenhagen's last 10; 4 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Midtjylland averaged 2.31 goals scored and 1.38 conceded across 13 matches; away from home FC Copenhagen averaged 2.31 scored and 1.06 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.46 goals from FC Midtjylland and 1.50 from FC Copenhagen. From that it rates a home win at 36%, a draw at 27% and an away win at 38%, against 38%, 26% and 36% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 66%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Midtjylland (green) and FC Copenhagen (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland | DWWDW | 2.50 | 0.70 | 60% | 40% |
| FC Copenhagen | LWWWW | 2.00 | 0.80 | 20% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 14 May 2026 · FC Copenhagen 0–1 FC Midtjylland
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 75% | 1.25 |
| Double Chance 12 | 74% | 1.28 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 72% | 1.30 |
| Under 3.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 63% | 1.50 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.53 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 58% | 1.65 |
| Over 9.5 Corners | 56% | 1.67 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.