Home › League stats › Meistriliiga › FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide
Meistriliiga · Estonia
FC Levadia Tallinn vs Paide prediction and preview
11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Levadia Tallinn host Paide in the Meistriliiga (Estonia) on 11 Oct 2026, 11:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.57, which the bookmaker market rated at about 61% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Levadia Tallinn 1–0 Paide.
Going into the match, FC Levadia Tallinn had won 9, drawn 1 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 40 and conceding 5. Paide had won 5, drawn 1 and lost 4 of their last 10, with 16 scored and 14 conceded.
Both teams scored in 4 of FC Levadia Tallinn's last 10 and 6 of Paide's last 10; 8 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Levadia Tallinn averaged 4.00 goals scored and 0.40 conceded across 15 matches; away from home Paide averaged 1.63 scored and 1.56 conceded across 16.
Our team-strength model expects about 2.53 goals from FC Levadia Tallinn and 0.55 from Paide. From that it rates a home win at 80%, a draw at 15% and an away win at 5%, against 65%, 20% and 15% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 39%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Levadia Tallinn (green) and Paide (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Levadia Tallinn | WDWWW | 4.00 | 0.50 | 40% | 80% |
| Paide | WWLWL | 1.60 | 1.40 | 60% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 6 Sep 2026 · Paide 0–2 FC Levadia Tallinn
- 26 Aug 2026 · FC Levadia Tallinn 4–1 Paide
- 17 May 2026 · Paide 1–3 FC Levadia Tallinn
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 77% | 1.20 |
| BTTS 1st Half - No | 73% | 1.28 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn Win | 64% | 1.38 |
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 1.57 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 51% | 1.80 |
| FC Levadia Tallinn HT & FT | 45% | 2.05 |
| 2-1 | 10% | 9.00 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.