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Premier League · Russia
FC Krasnodar vs Zenit prediction and preview
10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC
The PunterPick prediction
Published before kick-off and never changed afterwards. See the methodology for how picks are chosen.
Match preview
FC Krasnodar host Zenit in the Premier League (Russia) on 10 Oct 2026, 16:30 UTC. The prediction PunterPick published for this fixture is BTTS Yes — both teams to score. It was published at odds of 1.75, which the bookmaker market rated at about 56% once the bookmaker margin is removed.
Final score: FC Krasnodar 2–3 Zenit.
Going into the match, FC Krasnodar had won 5, drawn 5 and lost 0 of their last 10 matches, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Zenit had won 6, drawn 2 and lost 2 of their last 10, with 14 scored and 7 conceded.
Both teams scored in 5 of FC Krasnodar's last 10 and 3 of Zenit's last 10; 2 and 5 of those matches respectively went over 2.5 goals. At home FC Krasnodar averaged 1.92 goals scored and 1.00 conceded across 12 matches; away from home Zenit averaged 1.55 scored and 0.45 conceded across 11.
Our team-strength model expects about 1.02 goals from FC Krasnodar and 1.48 from Zenit. From that it rates a home win at 25%, a draw at 29% and an away win at 47%, against 33%, 29% and 38% implied by the 1X2 prices. For the published pick itself the model gives 51%.
Team comparison
Share of each factor between FC Krasnodar (green) and Zenit (grey), from our data provider's pre-match comparison.
Form before the match
| Team | Last 5 | Scored | Conceded | BTTS | O2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Krasnodar | DDDDW | 1.10 | 0.60 | 50% | 20% |
| Zenit | WDWWL | 1.40 | 0.70 | 30% | 50% |
Averages over each side's last 10 matches in our results archive before this fixture.
Recent meetings
- 12 Apr 2026 · Zenit 1–1 FC Krasnodar
Other markets we priced
| Market | Our probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Double Chance 12 | 71% | 1.36 |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 71% | 1.32 |
| 1st Half Under 1.5 Goals | 69% | 1.38 |
| 1st Half Over 0.5 Goals | 68% | 1.40 |
| Over 8.5 Corners | 54% | 1.72 |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 1.75 |
| Under 2.5 Goals | 53% | 1.79 |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 47% | 2.06 |
Probabilities are derived from bookmaker prices with the margin removed. They are estimates, not guarantees.